Sunday, December 27, 2009

Premier League Gameweek 20 Fantasy Preview

The Fantasy Stuff Legends Are Made Of

For brevity's sake, I'm going to skip the game previews and discuss Studs and Duds as well as a predicted Gameweek 20 Best Eleven... It's that "in between" period in the holiday season, and we all have family / extracurricular / etc. obligations so let's go brief for these midweek fixtures... Hope you enjoyed the Christmas Benayoun tip and apologies in advance for the truncated midweek preview...

STUDS and DUDS:

This gameweek sees four teams playing twice - Arsenal, Bolton, Fulham, and Stoke. Arsenal are not only the best team but also have the easiest fixtures - taking on 18th placed Bolton and 20th placed Portsmouth this week. Armand Traore (4M) is a very cheap stud as are all the usual attacking suspects.

If you are short on cash - look at Ramsey (4.8M) and Diaby (5.6M) as potential additions to your squad... They could feature in at least 1 of the 2 Arsenal games and are both studs for their prices...

Studs Bolton are home to Hull but then at Arsenal, so it's really just 1.5 games for then this week. Hold and play all your Bolton players if you have them, but if you are looking to invest, Arsenal's "cheaper" studs mentioned above look juicier...

Studs Fulham have two difficult away games (Chelsea and Stoke) - though they are in excellent defensive form. Again, play your Fulham players as studs - but investing at this point doesn't seem to make too much sense - especially with their best defender Brede Hangeland doubtful with a knee problem. They are close to the stud / dud fence but all of their attacking players (Dempsey, Duff, Zamora, Murphy, etc.) should be started...

Lastly, I'm not quite sure what to make of Stoke this double gameweek. They have a great schedule - two home games (Birmingham and Fulham) but are out of form, and despite the "Aura" around Sorensen and their defense, they have actually only kept 3 clean sheets out of 8 home games this season... Shawcross is a major doubt for the Birmingham game, and while I can see one clean sheet out of two perhaps, I can't see two clean sheets in this one. Again, play your Stoke players but you are better off investing in Arsenal's cheap studs than buying into Stoke at this point...

Buying players from those 4 teams will insure that you have studs this week, but make sure to look to the long term as well as the short term...

Other studs this week include MANCHESTER CITY and EVERTON players. I feel they put together nice performances on Boxing Day and that momentum could carry over into the week...

Duds this week, to no major surprise, include Burnley players, Wolves players, and West Ham players. The likes of Alexander and Bikey (frequently owned Burnley players), Craddock (Wolves), and Robert Green and Upson (West Ham) are all cheap and owned by thousands of managers, but face off against formidable attacks...

Lastly, the major dud this week is Christmas rest and rotation, or, more accurately: all 20 Premier League managers. The managers have promised to make a bunch of changes due to rest and injury and the tight fixture list and that could see the likes of high priced players like Rooney and Berbatov (rested for Owen?) or Torres (rested for N'Gog?) perhaps given only limited run-outs. Maybe it's just talk, but the little niggles and cold weather will surely change the complexion of many starting elevens across the country this week. Make sure you have a strong bench or be prepared for some surprises...

Gameweek 20 Best Eleven:

GK: Sorensen

D: Gary Cahill - Gallas - Evra

M: Arshavin - Chung Yong Lee - Pienaar - Tuncay - Lampard

F: Rooney - Tevez

Subs: Kuszczack - Zamora - A. Traore - Faye Ab

Saturday, December 26, 2009

Butt's Brain: Boxing Day

Everton were Saved by the Fellaini

A few quick Saturday morning Boxing Day observations from around the Premier League. I've been able to watch four matches live (two simultaneously over the past four hours on the PC and tele) and am 15 minutes away from Liverpool vs Wolves but this is what has caught my eye...

  • Everton seem to be turning a corner in their season with a spirited second half display today while Sunderland continue to fall far short of the lofty expectations they set for themselves in August and September. The 1-1 draw was fair, though Everton perhaps should have taken all 3 points with a little better finishing from the likes of the usually lethal Saha. Sunderland looked distinctly mediocre after the first 20 minutes in which they dominated - nothing more than a mid-table team and while Jones and Bent did combine nicely for a goal, they offered nothing special in the second half.
  • Steven Pienaar looked superb on the ball in the second half. I wouldn't be surprised if he was at the heart of the attack for Everton against Burnley when the Clarets visit Goodison Park on Monday.
  • Jordan Henderson, Sunderland's teenage prodigy, looked good on the ball and in defense in the second half - he was hungry and played with fire...
  • Fulham could make the Europa League again. Tottenham will not make the Champions League. Fulham continue to show that they are a very organized side and can even play some great one touch football in the attacking third under Roy Hodgson. He is far and away the manager of the past two years in the Premier League. Not even close. A 3-0 win over Manchester United last week and a decent enough 0-0 draw with Tottenham today and Hodgson can be happy with his side's Boxing Day performance.
  • Clint Dempsey was at the heart of everything good for Fulham but was wasteful with his chances in the box. He had two or three very weak shots either on target or just off target. I wonder if fellow American Landon Donovan (on loan soon to Everton) would have done better in those similar situations and put a goal away... Murphy, Duff, Zamora, Gera all had good attacking spells as well against Tottenham.
  • Didier Drogba certainly did not go out to Africa with a bang. Just as I had been predicting / expecting for some time now, Drogba could not keep up the amazing goal per game form forever... Two straight blanks (against relatively straightforward opposition in West Ham and Birmingham) for the Ivory Coast stud and as Drogba goes, so do Chelsea. The team is in a bad strech of form right now and faces tight at the back Fulham in just a few days...
  • Enjoy the holiday weekend... Now to the Liverpool match...

Friday, December 25, 2009

Funny Feeling Friday: BENAYOUN

He doesn't celebrate Christmas, he just celebrates scoring big goals

The Funny Feeling Friday selection has historically been reserved for those unpopular, under the radar, or out of form players who we believe will break out in the short term, so Yossi Benayoun, at 9% owned in the Fantasy Premier League game, is a unique selection.

But let's talk it through. Without taking into account the fact that Benayoun is a blog favorite, there are other reasons to consider that Yossi is in our thoughts from a fantasy football perspective:

Liverpool take on Wolves at home this weekend and Benayoun started from the bench against Portsmouth last week. He will surely be recalled into the starting lineup for this one.

Benayoun has not scored or assisted in the league in the last 5 games - his longest stretch of the season. He is still making creative runs on and off the ball, still providing good service and getting in good areas, but has not contributed from a fantasy perspective in over a month. It is my belief that when a player is still getting "good looks" (to borrow a basketball term) but the shots just aren't going down - that he is still a viable fantasy option.

So, to the masses - Liverpool are out of form, and Benayoun is not contributing. Surely not worth it.

But to the wise gambler with a "funny feeling," Liverpool have 2 home games in the next 3, and a chance to start the New Year off on the right foot.

Benayoun (7.8M) is cheaper than Kuyt (9.2M) and Gerrard (12.4M) and that's why he's our Funny Feeling Friday. With Mascherano out due to injury and a red card suspension, Gerrard could shift to a deeper central midfield role rather than playing as a "second striker." Would Stevie G really represent an almost 5M more value than Yossi does if he's not playing in an uber-attacking role? Probably not.

So there you have it. A goal or assist against Wolves for the silky smooth Israeli, Benayoun.

Thursday, December 24, 2009

Top 10 Goals of the Year



Top 10 goals of 2009...

[via Unprofessional Foul]

Premier League Gameweek 19 Fantasy Preview

Your Gameweek 19 Captain, Fernando Torres

After Boxing Day, we'll be exactly half-way through the Premier League season. Exciting stuff. We'll have 5 more months of fantasy footie, a brilliant title race brewing, a few weeks off - and then bam: South Africa! But for now - our attention is focused strictly on the league.

A quick Happy Holidays to all of our readers. We really appreciate you sharing your love for the beautiful game with us, and look forward to your continued witty comments in the future...

I. Aston Villa @ Arsenal: Can Villa complete the Grand Slam? Having already beaten Liverpool, Chelsea, and Manchester United, Martin O'Neill's men are on a high as they travel to the Emirates looking for another Big-4 scalp. Level on points with Arsenal for third in the league, Villa have a real chance to cement themselves as Top-4 material with an away win here.

The key to the game, obviously, will be the availability of Cesc Fabregas. With the Captain fully fit, Arsenal can pass the ball around with ease, and create chances out of nothing. But Fabregas, in my opinion, will either a) not be risked or b) not be at his best after 10 days out of competitive action with a hamstring problem.

This isn't an easy return - a 45 minute run out with the reserves or a home match with Hull that Fabregas could step back into. This is Aston Villa in the freezing cold - a high flying team full of England internationals and potential World Cup starters - who have the Premier League's best defensive record: only 14 goals allowed in 18 matches!

But the Gunners have the league's top scoring offense (44 goals through 17 matches) and it will be the tiny Russian Oliver Twist look-alike, Andrei Arshavin, who will lead the line again and hope to step up in the big game as he has done in the past. Arshavin will be key to this one.

Villa's in form Milner, Downing, and A. Young will be the trio to watch out for in the midfield - and if Fabregas isn't there, I expect them to boss proceedings. I think Villa will keep it tight and come away with a draw - if Fabregas is out.

Prediction: 1 - 1 Draw

II. Wolves @ Liverpool: I'm throwing the form book out the window here. Liverpool are in terrible form but are just a much classier outfit than Wolves are. Sure, Wolves are flying high with 3 wins in their last 4, including a win at Tottenham, but I have to back Torres and company to win this one. Other fantasy friendly options include United at Hull and to a lesser extent Chelsea at in-form Birmingham and City at home under a new manager.

The injury prone Fernando Torres has scored 49 goals from 70 Premier League games and if he scores in this one, he will become the club's fastest player ever to reach 50 league goals. Decent enough incentive then for the stud Spaniard still looking to regain full fitness.

Wolves' main main - Serb Nenad Milijas (5.3M) will cause a danger from set pieces, and could combine with in form striker Kevin Doyle (5.4M) to nick a goal for the relegation candidates, but I think Liverpool at Anfield on Boxing Day will have enough.

American Marcus Hahnemann has been on the end of a few drubbings as Reading's # 1 and this game could be similar. An early Liverpool goal and the rout is on.

Prediction: 3 - 1 Liverpool

III. Studs and Duds: Daniel Sturridge (5.5M) could start for Chelsea at Birmingham with Nicolas Anelka out injured and thus enter the "Stud" category. Drogba will definitely start his last game before leaving for the African Cup of Nations the next day, and Sturridge (or Kalou) could partner him up front. Sturridge is a cheap stud but he may not play 90 minutes week in and week out as Anelka will return from injury soon and Chelsea could buy a new striker in the transfer window...

Wigan players, I think, are studs, despite having lost 2 of their last 3 matches. Blackburn aren't the best road team and will again be without their best offensive weapon, David Dunn. Scharner, Rodallega, and N'Zogbia are you in-form men then, and all are studs at home this weekend and cheap enough to invest in.

Avram Grant's Portsmouth travel to London to take on Zola's West Ham - both teams in the relegation zone, but both could offer some cheap studs for the weekend. O'Hara, Piquionne, and Boateng are at the heart of everything good for Pompey, and are all studs on the road while Franco and Diamanti are the cheap stud choices for West Ham.

Duds this week are the popular goalkeeping combination of Thomas Sorensen (Stoke) and Joe Hart (Birmingham) who face big time scorers Manchester City and Chelsea respectively. Those two 'keepers are almost universally owned by managers on a budget but this week seems a case of the lesser of two evils... Sorensen gets the slight edge over Hart in my book.

IV. Gameweek 19 Best Eleven:

GK: Given

D: Evra - Ivanovic - Insua

M: Benayoun - Barry - Arshavin - Tuncay Sanli - Boateng

F: Rooney - Torres

Subs: Jensen - Scharner - Bikey - Piquionne

Wednesday, December 23, 2009

Butt Buddies Boxing Day Contest Sponsored by Zuku

The good old days with Cristiano Ronaldo

Alright, Christmas is almost here. And that means some brilliant weekend footie fixtures on Boxing Day. While you lounge around the fire, eat your pudding, and watch your favorite fantasy Premier League footballers, we believe you should have a bit of extra incentive...

And thus, we present our Butt Buddies Boxing Day Prediction Contest sponsored by our good buddies at Zuku - the makers of Soccer Pro "super vitamin" packs.

The contest is simple. Predict the 10 results in the Premier League this weekend. [Win - loss - draw] Top 2 winners will receive special sample packs of the revolutionary new product Soccer Pro from Zuku. The contest is free to enter. Simply send your predictions to nevercaptainnickybutt [at] gmail [dot] com. The tie-breaker will be the total number of cards (red or yellow) PLUS goals in the Top-4 battle between Arsenal and Aston Villa.

Here are the weekend fixtures and a sample contest entry can be seen below:




Sample entry:

1. Chelsea 2. Fulham 3. WH - POR DRAW 4. Burnley - Bol DRAW 5. Man City 6. Everton 7. Wigan 8. Wolves 9. Arsenal 10. Hull

Tie-Breaker: 9